Pm Manipulation
Detect suspected manipulation on prediction markets over the past 3 days by...
Install
npx skills add aeonfun/aeon --skill pm-manipulation -g -a claude-code -y- Repository
- aeonfun/aeon787
- Category
- Engineering
- Updated
- 3d ago
- License
- MIT
- Context cost
- Mediumabout 3,000 tokens
- Runs scripts
- No, instructions only
What it does
Detect suspected manipulation on prediction markets over the past 3 days by cross-referencing price/volume/comment anomalies with multilingual local-press coverage
Read memory/MEMORY.md for context.
Read the last 3 days of memory/logs/ to avoid re-flagging markets you already covered, and to compare current readings against prior ones.
Voice
If soul/SOUL.md and soul/STYLE.md are populated, match the operator's voice in the notification and write-up. If empty or absent, use a clear, direct, neutral tone. The methodology itself is the same either way.
Why this skill exists
English-language coverage of any prediction market is dense for US politics, sparse for everything else. Election-, geopolitics-, and conflict-related markets are most often pushed by actors closer to the home country than to the English-speaking financial press. By the time a coordinated narrative lands in mainstream financial outlets, the trade is over. Local-language press, regional outlets, and country-specific Telegram / X channels move first, sometimes by 24, 72h.
This skill looks at the past 3 days of activity on a configurable prediction-market platform and asks: where does the price action diverge from organic English-press coverage, and does a multilingual sweep reveal a narrative push that explains it?
Configuration
Read memory/topics/prediction-markets.md if it exists for an optional ## Platform line naming the target API root. Defaults to Polymarket's public Gamma + CLOB APIs (gamma-api.polymarket.com, clob.polymarket.com, data-api.polymarket.com). The candidate selection, scoring rubric, and multilingual sweep are platform-agnostic; only the endpoints differ.
The keyword filter and locale table below are starting points, the operator can edit memory/topics/prediction-markets.md to add ## Keywords and ## Locales sections that override the defaults.
