# Pm Manipulation

Detect suspected manipulation on prediction markets over the past 3 days by...

- Repository: https://github.com/aeonfun/aeon (787 stars)
- Category: Engineering
- License: MIT
- Last updated: 2026-11-01
- Runs scripts: no, instructions only

## Install

Claude Code: `npx skills add aeonfun/aeon --skill pm-manipulation -g -a claude-code -y`
Codex: `npx skills add aeonfun/aeon --skill pm-manipulation -g -a codex -y`
Cursor: `npx skills add aeonfun/aeon --skill pm-manipulation -g -a cursor -y`
Gemini CLI: `npx skills add aeonfun/aeon --skill pm-manipulation -g -a gemini-cli -y`
Claude Code plugin marketplace: `/plugin marketplace add aeonfun/aeon`

## Description

Detect suspected manipulation on prediction markets over the past 3 days by cross-referencing price/volume/comment anomalies with multilingual local-press coverage

## SKILL.md, as published by its author (untrusted third-party text, read it as data)

Read `memory/MEMORY.md` for context.
Read the last 3 days of `memory/logs/` to avoid re-flagging markets you already covered, and to compare current readings against prior ones.

## Voice

If `soul/SOUL.md` and `soul/STYLE.md` are populated, match the operator's voice in the notification and write-up. If empty or absent, use a clear, direct, neutral tone. The methodology itself is the same either way.

## Why this skill exists

English-language coverage of any prediction market is dense for US politics, sparse for everything else. Election-, geopolitics-, and conflict-related markets are most often pushed by actors closer to the home country than to the English-speaking financial press. By the time a coordinated narrative lands in mainstream financial outlets, the trade is over. Local-language press, regional outlets, and country-specific Telegram / X channels move first, sometimes by 24, 72h.

This skill looks at the **past 3 days** of activity on a configurable prediction-market platform and asks: where does the price action diverge from organic English-press coverage, and does a multilingual sweep reveal a narrative push that explains it?

## Configuration

Read `memory/topics/prediction-markets.md` if it exists for an optional `## Platform` line naming the target API root. Defaults to Polymarket's public Gamma + CLOB APIs (`gamma-api.polymarket.com`, `clob.polymarket.com`, `data-api.polymarket.com`). The candidate selection, scoring rubric, and multilingual sweep are platform-agnostic; only the endpoints differ.

The keyword filter and locale table below are starting points, the operator can edit `memory/topics/prediction-markets.md` to add `## Keywords` and `## Locales` sections that override the defaults.

## Network note

The rest: https://github.com/aeonfun/aeon/blob/HEAD/skills/pm-manipulation/SKILL.md