Token Pick

<!-- autoresearch: variation B, sharper output via signal scoring, edge calculation, conviction tiers, and a skip-day branch -->

${var}, Focus area or thesis (e.g. "AI tokens", "election markets", "contrarian bets"). If empty, scans broadly.

Read memory/MEMORY.md for context. Read the last 7 days of memory/logs/ and grep for prior Token Pick entries, extract the symbols and market questions already picked. Hard dedup gate: do not re-pick the same token or the same prediction market unless there is a materially new catalyst that you can name in one sentence.

Goal

Produce ONE token call and ONE prediction-market call per day, each with a numeric signal/edge score and a conviction tier. If neither qualifies for at least MEDIUM conviction, send a short "no picks today" message rather than forcing a weak pick.

Steps

1. Fetch token data

# Optional demo key rides ./secretcurl's {COINGECKO_API_KEY} placeholder (never a bare
# $SECRET on the line); without a key the same public endpoint works at a lower rate limit.
CG_HDR=(); [ -n "${COINGECKO_API_KEY:+x}" ] && CG_HDR=(-H "x-cg-demo-api-key: {COINGECKO_API_KEY}")

# Trending coins
./secretcurl -s "${CG_HDR[@]}" "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/search/trending"

# Top 250 by market cap with 24h and 7d changes
./secretcurl -s "${CG_HDR[@]}" "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/coins/markets?vs_currency=usd&order=market_cap_desc&per_page=250&page=1&sparkline=false&price_change_percentage=24h,7d"

# BTC + ETH 24h/7d for relative-strength benchmark (extract from the markets call above; no extra request needed)

# DEX-side cross-confirmation (no auth, optional but preferred)
curl -s "https://api.dexscreener.com/latest/dex/search?q=trending"

If any curl returns empty or errors, retry once with WebFetch for the same URL. Track per-source status (cg=ok|fail, dex=ok|fail), surfaced in the output footer.

2. Fetch prediction markets