# Contrarian Setup Gate

Synthesize the three Jason Shapiro contrarian-pipeline verdicts (COT crowding...

- Repository: https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills (3536 stars)
- Category: Engineering
- License: MIT
- Last updated: 2026-11-01
- Runs scripts: yes, review before use

## Install

Claude Code: `npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill contrarian-setup-gate -g -a claude-code -y`
Codex: `npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill contrarian-setup-gate -g -a codex -y`
Cursor: `npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill contrarian-setup-gate -g -a cursor -y`
Gemini CLI: `npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill contrarian-setup-gate -g -a gemini-cli -y`

## Description

Synthesize the three Jason Shapiro contrarian-pipeline verdicts (COT crowding, news-reaction failure, weekly price-action confirmation) into one actionable setup_status via a fail-closed precedence state machine. Pure, offline synthesis -- no network, no API keys, no computation beyond validation and precedence.

## SKILL.md, as published by its author (untrusted third-party text, read it as data)

# Contrarian Setup Gate

## Overview

Synthesize the outputs of Jason Shapiro's 3-step contrarian process into one actionable state. cot-contrarian-detector (step 1) flags crowded positioning, news-reaction-failure-analyzer (step 2) tests whether the market failed to react to news favorable to the crowd, and technical-analyst's contrarian-confirmation mode (step 3) confirms weekly price-action evidence of a reversal. This gate reads those three report JSONs and applies an explicit, exhaustively-tested precedence rule set to produce one `setup_status`, with a fail-closed reason attached to every input that could not be confirmed.

The gate does no fetching, no API calls, and no computation beyond validating and combining the three inputs it is given. It is the pipeline's synthesis center, not a data source.

## When to Use

- After running cot-contrarian-detector (always required -- this is the pipeline's entry point)
- Mid-pipeline, with only the detector report, to see the CROWDED state and what steps remain
- After running news-reaction-failure-analyzer, to see whether the setup advances to WATCHING_PRICE or is REJECTED
- After running technical-analyst's contrarian-confirmation mode, to see whether the setup reaches READY_FOR_PLAN
- Before handing a symbol's direction and stop level to a position-sizing skill

## Prerequisites

- Python 3.9+
- No API keys -- this skill is fully offline
- A cot-contrarian-detector JSON report for the symbol under evaluation (required)
- Optionally, a news-reaction-failure-analyzer JSON report for the same symbol (step 2)
- Optionally, a technical-analyst contrarian-confirmation JSON report for the same symbol (step 3)

## Workflow

### Step 1: Run the Gate

The rest: https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/blob/HEAD/skills/contrarian-setup-gate/SKILL.md