
Era Alpha
AI Berkshire skill: 时代α捕手:高增长核心资产的识别-验证-持有框架.
Install
npx skills add xbtlin/ai-berkshire --skill era-alpha -g -a claude-code -y- Repository
- xbtlin/ai-berkshire17k
- Category
- Engineering
- Updated
- 3d ago
- License
- MIT
- Context cost
- Lightabout 945 tokens
- Runs scripts
- No, instructions only
What it does
AI Berkshire skill: 时代α捕手:高增长核心资产的识别-验证-持有框架. Source: skills/era-alpha.md.
Codex adapter note
This skill is generated from skills/era-alpha.md so Claude Code and Codex users share one canonical workflow.
- Treat
$ARGUMENTSas the user's request in the current Codex thread. - When the source mentions Claude-only surfaces such as Task, Agent, WebSearch, Bash, Read, or Write, use the closest Codex capability available in this session: subagents when available, web search when needed, shell commands for local tools, and normal file edits for workspace files.
- Use shared project tools from
tools/in this repository. Prefer running commands from the repository root with paths likepython3 tools/financial_rigor.py ...; if the current thread starts outside the repo, locate the actual checkout path first instead of assuming a fixed home-directory path. - Before starting research, run the
datecommand to confirm today's date; treat it as the baseline for "latest" data and state the data cutoff date in the report header. Never assume the current date from training data. - Preserve the research quality rules from
AGENTS.md: cross-check financial data, use exact arithmetic tools for valuation/math, and clearly label uncertainty and source gaps.
时代α捕手:高增长核心资产的识别-验证-持有框架
对 $ARGUMENTS 行业/方向执行"时代α四步法":建立行业认知地图 → 自问核心问题 → 全方位验证 → 持有到拐点。目标是找出当下最核心高增长行业中真正有定价权、有壁垒、能持续跑赢同行的 α 企业,并给出介入与退出纪律。
方法论来源与本质
源自一套职业投资人的四步操作手册,本质一句话:把财富建立在认知之上,而不是运气或情绪之上。原版四步(读一年财报建地图 → 自问核心高增长行业与核心α → 财报+调研+行业+宏观全验证后介入 → 基本面拐点前死拿)是职业选手的修炼路径,本技能内置了三项修正,使其成为可执行路径:
- 修正一(精简范围):不覆盖所有行业,聚焦指定赛道的 2-3 个核心环节做深做透。三五家真正看透,胜过认识一千家。
- 修正二(高频数据交叉验证):财报是三个月前的体检报告,必须用行业高频数据(周度/月度出货量、价格、订单、装机、渗透率)做实时体温计校正。
- 修正三(估值锚点):长期看"高了还能更高",但市盈率超历史均值 3 个标准差时介入可能长期输时间。合理或低估时重仓、明显泡沫时减仓、拐点确认时清仓,不闭眼买。
与现有技能的分工:
industry-research偏产业链全景切片;industry-funnel偏全市场漏斗筛选era-alpha偏"时代级高增长主线"的 α 识别 + 增长可持续性验证 + 持有/退出纪律,聚焦更窄、验证更深、给出明确的拐点清单
第一步:行业认知地图(原版"读365份财报"的聚焦版)
对目标赛道建立产业链认知地图,每个环节回答:
