Skills

Pm Quant Strategy Authoring

Turn an agent's quantitative idea into Strategy code with tunable parameters and...

Install

npx skills add YichengYang-Ethan/oracle3-prediction-market-agent --skill pm-quant-strategy-authoring -g -a claude-code -y
Category
AI and agents
Updated
24d ago
License
Apache-2.0
Context cost
Lightabout 466 tokens
Runs scripts
No, instructions only

What it does

Turn an agent's quantitative idea into Strategy code with tunable parameters and verifiable behavior.

PM Quant Strategy Authoring

Use this skill when the user asks the agent to come up with a strategy and write the code.

Goals

  • A runnable strategy class (a QuantStrategy subclass).
  • Exposed numeric parameters, so the strategy can be auto-tuned.
  • strategy validate and backtest run both succeed.

Code entry points

  • Base class contract: oracle3/strategy/quant_strategy.py (QuantStrategy).
  • For LLM-driven strategies use AgentStrategy instead (see pm-agent-strategy-authoring).
  • Example strategies: examples/strategies/*.py, strategies/*.py.
  • New strategies go in strategies/.

Steps

  1. Create the skeleton
  • oracle3 strategy create --output strategies/<name>.py --class-name <ClassName> --type quant
  1. Implement the strategy
  • In process_event, handle only the event types you need (usually PriceChangeEvent).
  • Put parameters in the constructor; numeric parameters are what tuning searches over.
  • Call trader.place_order(...) to act.
  • Record actions and signals with self.record_decision(...).
  1. Quick validation
  • oracle3 strategy validate --strategy-ref strategies/<name>.py:<ClassName> --strategy-kwargs-json '<json>' --dry-run --events 10 --json
  1. Single-market backtest
  • oracle3 backtest run --history-file <history.jsonl> --market-id <M> --event-id <E> --strategy-ref strategies/<name>.py:<ClassName> --strategy-kwargs-json '<json>' --json
  1. Prepare for tuning
  • Every parameter has a clear meaning, bounds and a default.
  • Parameter types stay JSON-serializable.
  • Tune with oracle3 research auto-tune --param-grid-json '<json>' ....

Hard rules

  • Do not hard-code strategy logic in a command-line script; it belongs in its own strategy file.
  • Never use future information (no look-ahead).
  • Keep runs reproducible: record the strategy file path, class name, kwargs and command.

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